Coal Electricity Tension Slows Down Resource Conflicts Surplus Some Products Excess Economic Operations Uncertainty Increased

On January 24, the National Development and Reform Commission held a press conference to analyze and forecast the economic situation this year. Deputy Director Zhu Hongren of the Economic Operation Bureau of the National Development and Reform Commission said: In 2006, the international and domestic environment as a whole is conducive to the steady and rapid development of China's economy. However, there are also many difficulties and challenges in the economic operation. The contradiction between supply and demand for coal, electricity, and oil has not yet been fundamentally resolved. The issue of overcapacity in the industry has become increasingly prominent, and the uncertainties in economic operations have further increased.
Regarding coal, electricity and oil transportation, which is closely related to chemical production, Zhu Hongren told reporters that the supply and demand situation this year will be further eased, but tensions in some regions and some time periods will still exist. The total supply and demand of coal is basically balanced, but supply shortages and oversupply may exist simultaneously in different regions. This year's electricity supply and demand gap is about 10 million kilowatts, although in some parts of North China, East China, Central China, and China Southern Power Grid, there will still be power shortages, but compared to 25 million kilowatts last year and 35 million kilowatts in the previous year There is a big drop. Due to the rapid increase in demand for natural gas, the tight supply of resources will become increasingly prominent. At the same time, the unbalanced contradiction in the transport area is also more prominent. Rail transport in the northwest, northeast, and southwest regions is still relatively tight.
The analysis of the National Development and Reform Commission shows that with the successive production of new construction projects in the past two years, the contradiction between oversupply and demand in some industries has become more prominent, and the consequences of serious overcapacity have gradually revealed. The issues related to chemical industry, such as coke, calcium carbide, and automobile industries, are prominent. Power, coal, and textile industries also have potential problems with excess capacity.
Zhu Hongren said that at present, China’s economic development is at a golden period of per capita GDP of US$1,000, but this period is also a period of high incidence of public emergencies, coupled with the increase in international trade frictions, the continued high international crude oil prices, and the increase in cost of downstream companies, etc., and economic operation. The uncertainties have further increased.